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MarketJanuary 15, 20264 min

Why olive oil prices remain closely watched in the Mediterranean

An overview of the main factors influencing olive oil prices: harvests, climate, stocks, quality and international demand.

A market driven by harvest volumes

Olive oil prices are strongly influenced by production volumes in the main producing countries. A strong harvest can help stabilize prices, while a weaker harvest may create market tension and reduce available supply.

Mediterranean countries play a central role in global olive oil trade. Spain, Italy, Greece, Tunisia, Morocco and Portugal can all influence availability, reference prices and international flows.

Climate as a major factor

Weather conditions have become one of the most important factors to monitor. Drought, heat waves, lack of water or extreme weather events can affect flowering, yields and final quality.

This makes the market more sensitive and encourages professionals to follow price indicators regularly before making commercial decisions.

Stocks, quality and international demand

Stocks also play an important role. Low inventories can support prices, while larger stocks may limit upward pressure.

Quality remains essential. Extra virgin, virgin and lampante oils do not serve the same markets and do not have the same price references. International demand also contributes to maintaining close attention on the sector.

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